Monday, 28 October 2019

Of unintended consequences, an independent Wales and possible future



Of unintended consequences, an independent Wales and possible futures..I wait for the Portillo moments to come. For those unfamiliar with the term it refers to the defeat of Portillo in the 1997 election. I remember it so clearly I also think of Max Weber's term of the 'unintended consequences" of historical events. As I reflect on the months to come I wonder what will be. I suspect that the greatest irony will be that it is English Nationalism in all its narrow glory that will be the midwife if an independent Scotland, a united Ireland and ultimately an independent Wales . I think that many young people , particularly in Welsh  Labour, are also of that opinion However many in the Welsh National Movement must realise that just as devolution only became possible because of the conversion of Welsh Labour so to will the issue of an independent Wales. I know that within my wing of the Labour Party that I am not the only one thinking this way. I hope that in future that an ecosocialist Plaid would be the natural allies of a Socialist Welsh Labour Party enabling a Green, clean and socialist Wales to be born that is tolerant, neutral and open. The Welsh National Movement is fundamentally different from the bluekippers of England. Many on the Brit Left are still to realise this as are many within the Welsh National Movement upon the hidden currents within Welsh Labour
The coming general election will be the most vital one for nearly 200 years. A Labour-led government offers one route of liberation for the nations of the UK. In Scotland this government would grant a further referendum, a border poll in Northern Ireland and u suspect a full Welsh Parliament. A Johnson victory would leave Wales as the last colony as it was the first. The right wing English Nationalists have given up on the Union as they stare Farage hypnotized like at their navels.
The British state is fractured beyond repair. The Union faces dissolution it's been in decline for a long time and it's death rattle is approaching. Within Wales the macho males surrounding the indigenous Welsh Right is peeling off of Plaid and coalescing around a rightward moving Neil McEvoy. Former greens once Plaid that I know of are rapidly moving rightwards using the tropes of the Alt Right and retweeting their vile messages. Three in particular go on a journey worthy of the social conservatism of Devalera wanting to build a right, white and strictly gendered Wales. Looking at the three councillors leaving the Plaid group on Cardiff Council reveals them to be "macho men" ontologically insecure and frightened of strong women and of the left. What better than to run to Prince Neil?
In Argentina an anti austerity socialist wins the election. As we wait for the machinations of Swindleson's pro austerity Liberal Democrats we await for the Portillo moments that will be I wait for the fate of the blessed Swinson at the coming election. When Marr raised this issue with her on Sunday I saw the fear cross her face. I also suspect that with a new candidate the Tories will retake Brecon and Radnor in the coming election. I can't say that it is a thing to celebrate yet I feel at least I will know which side my MP will be on. It is quite clear that the Fib Dems have lost all claims to be prigressive or radical. It will not be long before the 35% of their supporters join Labour to build a pregresseive socialist and radical liberal coalition that is the Labour Party.
These unintended consequences are shifting continually and rapidly as I consider what may be. In these days after the backward moving hour, the odd lighter mornings and the darker evenings cause odd effects and stranger observations. These Portillo moments to come to offer much speculation. The British state is done to death as we await all possibilities and none in the election to come. The days come down to this as the temperature chills on the road to Samhain and beyond. The truth is the Lib Dems do not really give a toss about Brexit as they and their shrill leader are revealed to be as ambitious as Lucifer and as cold as a Lizard. As the X6 heads to Swansea I would rather be dealing with Arlene Foster and the DUP. The cloak of unintended consequences has much to answer to and many scenarios to reveal. Welcome to nearly November..
.I wait for the Portillo moments to come. For those unfamiliar with the term it refers to the defeat of Portillo in the 1997 election. I remember it so clearly I also think of Max Weber's term of the 'unintended consequences" of historical events. As I reflect on the months to come I wonder what will be. I suspect that the greatest irony will be that it is English Nationalism in all its narrow glory that will be the midwife if an independent Scotland, a united Ireland and ultimately an independent Wales. I think that many young people , particularly in Welsh  Labour, are also of that opinion However many in the Welsh National Movement must realise that just as devolution only became possible because of the conversion of Welsh Labour so to will the issue of an independent Wales. I know that within my wing of the Labour Party that I am not the only one thinking this way. I hope that in future that an ecosocialist Plaid would be the natural allies of a Socialist Welsh Labour Party enabling a Green, clean and socialist Wales to be born that is tolerant, neutral and open. The Welsh National Movement is fundamentally different from the bluekippers of England. Many on the Brit Left are still to realise this as are many within the Welsh National Movement upon the hidden currents within Welsh Labour
The coming general election will be the most vital one for nearly 200 years. A Labour-led government offers one route of liberation for the nation's of the UK. In Scotland this government would grant a further referendum, a border poll in Northern Ireland and u suspect a full Welsh Parliament. A Johnson victory would leave Wales as the last colony as it was the first. The right wing English Nationalists have given up on the Union as they stare Farage hypnotized like at their navels.
The British state is fractured beyond repair. The Union faces dissolution it's been in decline for a long time and it's death rattle is approaching. Within Wales the macho males surrounding the indigenous Welsh Right is peeling off of Plaid and coalescing around a rightward moving Neil McEvoy. Former greens once Plaid that I know of are rapidly moving rightwards using the tropes of the Alt Right and retweeting their vile messages. Three in particular go on a journey worthy of the social conservatism of Devalera wanting to build a right, white and strictly gendered Wales. Looking at the three councillors leaving the Plaid group on Cardiff Council reveals them to be "macho men" ontologically insecure and frightened of strong women and of the left. What better than to run to Prince Neil?
In Argentina an anti austerity socialist wins the election. As we wait for the machinations of Swindleson's pro austerity Liberal Democrats we await for the Portillo moments that will be I wait for the fate of the blessed Swinson at the coming election. When Marr raised this issue with her on Sunday I saw the fear cross her face. I also suspect that with a new candidate the Tories will retake Brecon and Radnor in the coming election. I can't say that it is a thing to celebrate yet I feel at least I will know which side my MP will be on. It is quite clear that the Fib Dems have lost all claims to be prigressive or radical. It will not be long before the 35% of their supporters join Labour to build a pregresseive socialist and radical liberal coalition that is the Labour Party.

These unintended consequences are shifting continually and rapidly as I consider what may be. In these days after the backward moving hour the odd lighter mornings and the darker evenings cause odd effects and stranger observations. These Portillo moments to come offer much speculation. The British state is done to death as we await all possibilities and none in the election to come. The days come down to this as the temperature chills on the road to Samhain and beyond. The truth is the Lib Dems do not really give a toss about Brexit as they and their shrill leader are revealed to be as ambitious as Lucifer and as cold as a Lizard. As the X6 heads to Swansea I would rather be dealing with Arlene Foster and the DUP. The cloak of unintended consequences has much to answer to and many scenarios to reveal. Welcome to nearly November.

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