Daniel
Koehler is the Director of the German Institute on Radicalization and
De-radicalization Studies (GIRDS) and a Fellow at George Washington
University’s Program on Extremism at the Center for Cyber and
Homeland Security.
Europe
has experienced a revival of militant right-wing extremist groups,
networks, and incidents in recent years, with a surge of
anti-immigration and Islamophobic violence, as well as
anti-government attacks and assaults on political opponents, ethnic
minorities, and homosexuals. Although not as significant as in
Europe, the United States has also seen an upsurge in political
violence considered to be “right-wing extremist” in nature (for
example, white supremacist, neo-Nazi, racist, or anti-government
sovereign citizen). For the international audience, only a few of
these incidents gained broad media attention; right-wing extremist
attacks are seen mostly as isolated events when compared with other
attacks, such as those by Islamist extremist terrorists. In Germany,
a right-wing terrorist group calling itself the National Socialist
Underground was discovered in 2011. Despite having assassinated at
least 10 people and committed 2 bombings over the course of almost 14
years, it had gone undetected. That same year, Anders Behring Breivik
killed 77 people in a bomb attack in Oslo and a mass shooting in
Utøya, Norway. In the United States, white supremacist Michael Page
shot and killed six people and wounded four others in an attack
against a Wisconsin Sikh temple in August 2012. Only one day after
Charles Kurzman had argued in the New
York Times that right-wing terrorism might be the
most severe security threat in the United States, Dylann Roof killed
nine people in his shooting rampage at the Emanuel African Methodist
Episcopal Church in Charleston, South Carolina, on June 17,
2015.1 Similar events have been
recorded in many Western European countries, as well as in Russia and
Eastern Europe. However, the public debate has not ascribed the same
level of importance to the threat from the extreme right as it has
regularly with Islamist extremism.
Nevertheless,
statistics clearly show the significant risk posed by violent
right-wing extremists in Western countries. In the United States, for
example, the Combating Terrorism Center’s Arie Perliger counted
4,420 violent incidents perpetrated by right-wing extremists between
1990 and 2012, causing 670 fatalities and 3,053 injured
persons.2 After three peaks in 2001,
2004, and 2008, with each wave surpassing the previous one, the
general trend is again upwards.3 Professor
Christopher Hewitt’s valuable studies about terrorism in the United
States also show that “white racist/rightist” terrorism accounts
for 31.2 percent of the incidents and 51.6 percent of
terrorism-related fatalities between 1954 and 2000, making it the
number one threat ahead of “revolutionary left-wing” or “black
militant” terrorism.4 In both the
United States and Canada, a widespread lack of coherent analysis
about the threat posed by extreme right-wing militants stands in
stark contrast to the level of concern about such individuals
expressed by police officials and other law enforcement agencies.5 As
a means of comparison, Islamist and right-wing extremists have caused
45 and 48 casualties in the United States, respectively, since the
September 11, 2001 attacks.6
In
Europe, academic and official statistics—including the University
of Bergen’s Terrorism in Western Europe: Events Data (TWEED) and
Europol’s annual European Union Terrorism Situation and Trend
Report (TE-SAT)—show a number of right-wing attacks since World War
II.7 TWEED registered 648 right-wing
terrorist attacks between 1950 and 2004 (approximately 6 percent of a
total of 10,239 attacks), while TE-SAT registered nine such attacks
between 2006 and 2013, though only two were in Western Europe. TWEED
also reveals three main waves of attacks: France in the early 1960s,
Italy in the 1970s, and Germany in the early 1990s. These three
nations also dominate the aggregate country share of casualties.8
Regarding
the TE-SAT statistics, it is important to note that the national
definitions and selection criteria vary significantly and that the
vast majority of violent crimes committed by individuals or groups
motivated by an extreme right-wing agenda are not categorized as
terrorism by Europol, based on the national legal frameworks.
Although all available national and international statistics in
Europe and North America show increasing trends in extreme right-wing
violence/terrorism, the basic phenomenon is by no means new: both
Europe and the United States have experienced significant extreme
right-wing attacks and waves of violence during the past several
decades.
Despite
this, only a very small number of academic studies have thus far
focused on this form of political violence9,
which has created a dangerous level of ignorance and a worrying lack
of expertise regarding the threat assessment of the far-right.10 This
article will provide an introduction to the current situation
regarding right-wing violence in Western Europe, with a focus on its
tactical and strategic aspects, and review related implications for
security in Europe and the United States. This article argues that
this specific form of political violence bears a number of unique
characteristics that make it harder for security agencies to detect
and appropriately react to, especially because the comparison with
Islamist extremism has created political and tactical biases that
hinder the adaptations needed to address this threat. An in-depth
case study of Germany is provided to illustrate what that threat
could look like and to reveal the potentially devastating
consequences for a nation’s security that may result. It is
necessary, however, to see this form of organized violence in the
context of the wider far-right movement in Europe, and the West, as
right-wing groups typically are very well connected across borders,
display significant collective learning, and to some extent see each
other as inspiration for their own tactics and modes of
operation.11 As only a brief
overview is within the scope of this article, another goal is to
raise awareness about the lack of knowledge and understanding
regarding extreme right-wing violence, which poses a severe threat to
internal security in many Western countries.
The
Far-Right: Interplay of International and National Affairs
Throughout
the last decade, Europe has seen a major surge of electoral successes
for nationalist and far-right parties.12 Currently,
39 European countries have nationalist and extreme right-wing parties
represented in their parliaments (excluding Turkey and Russia). While
in many cases these parties have gained only minor influence or
nominal representation, they have seen major—and
unexpected—successes in a number of other countries, including
France (National Front), Sweden (Sweden Democrats), Greece (Golden
Dawn), Poland (Law and Justice), the Netherlands (Party for Freedom),
and Denmark (Danish People’s Party). It is especially noteworthy
that far-right parties seem to have gained strong support as a result
of the ongoing refugee crisis as well as Islamist-motivated terrorist
attacks. These external events directed against a specific country
have been shown to increase electoral support for extreme right-wing
parties and may be linked to peaks of right-wing terrorism and
violence.13 Bold and rhetorically
violent anti-immigration and Euro-skeptic platforms of right-wing
parties arguably might also increase support for more violent actions
by small clandestine groups. After the Paris terror attacks of
January 7 and November 13, 2015, the extreme right-wing party the
National Front scored the highest results in local French elections,
winning approximately 30 percent of the national vote in December
2015 (compared with 11 percent in the 2010 election).14 Although
it was ultimately defeated in the final round of voting, this defeat
did not denote a decrease in voter support. Rather, it was merely a
result of the tactics employed by the opposition parties, which
utilized special characteristics of the French electoral system.
After the 9/11 attacks, anti-Muslim hate crimes and right-wing
terrorism (it should be noted the relationship between the two is
heavily debated) jumped 1,600 percent in the United
States.15 Following the London
bombings in July 2005, police reported a six-fold increase in the
rate of right-wing violence against Muslims. In the aftermath of the
Charlie Hebdo attacks in January 2015, similar incidents rose by 281
percent in France.16
As
such, possible links and supportive collaboration, if not outright
institutionalized cooperation, between clandestine or
extra-parliamentary groups and established political parties from the
right-wing spectrum must be taken into account when considering
right-wing terrorism and political violence. Though a highly
under-researched topic, a few studies have looked at this
intersection and found mixed results. For example, while Paul
Wilkinson, the former director of the University of St. Andrews’
Centre for the Study of Terrorism and Political Violence, found no
clear correlation between electoral results of extreme right-wing
political parties and violence from small right-wing groups, he did
affirm that the ambivalent standpoint of far-right parties toward
violence, as well as their racist and xenophobic propaganda, were
conducive to right-wing terrorism.17 In
other words, right-wing parties and movements do have an influence on
levels of everyday and general xenophobia and racism that are, in
turn, intensified and made explicit in smaller, more extremist
groups.18 In addition, more nuanced
studies showed a significant rise in right-wing-motivated arson
attacks following verbal shifts in the mainstream political debate
toward more xenophobic language.19 While
not the focus of this article, it is reasonable to deduce from the
existing research that right-wing terrorism and violence cannot be
completely separated from far-right parties and mass movements,
although the specific relationships between the two remain unclear.
Decades
of Right-Wing Extremism in the West
Right-wing
extremism has motivated some of the deadliest acts of domestic
terrorism in a number of Western countries. The following examples
represent only a very small selection of more widely known attacks
committed by far-right extremists in recent decades. In August 1980,
two members of a splinter cell of the Italian right-wing terrorist
group New Order bombed the Bologna train station, killing 85 and
wounding more than 200.20 That same
year, the deadliest terrorist attack in post-World War II Germany—the
bombing of the Munich Oktoberfest by at least one neo-Nazi—left 13
people dead and another 2,011 wounded.21 Another
devastating attack was carried out on April 19, 1995 by Timothy
McVeigh and two accomplices, who used a car bomb to attack the Alfred
P. Murrah Federal Building in Oklahoma City. Planned by McVeigh, who
was inspired by the right-wing extremist novel The
Turner Diaries, the bombing killed 168 and wounded more
than 600.22 It is one of the
deadliest terrorist attacks in the history of the United States.
In
2009, Ian Davison, a British neo-Nazi and white supremacist, and his
son were arrested for planning chemical weapons attacks using
homemade ricin as part of the right-wing terrorist organization Aryan
Strike Force.23Authorities uncovered the
plot, and Davison was sentenced to 10 years in prison. He is
currently the only British citizen arrested for and convicted of
manufacturing a chemical weapon. Two years later, on July 22, 2011,
Anders Behring Breivik, a right-wing extremist, detonated a car bomb
in Oslo city center, killing 8, and then drove to the island of Utøya
to continue his attack, killing a further 69 people, many of them
children, in a mass shooting.24Seventy-seven
people in total were killed during the rampage. Prior to carrying out
the attack, Breivik had published a manifesto that laid out his
ideology, which was based on Christian fundamentalism and cultural
racism.
These
examples demonstrate that the West has a long history of violent acts
perpetrated by extreme right-wing actors. Since 2012, the refugee
crisis across Europe has contributed to an upsurge in support for
right-wing parties and violent networks. Xenophobic and
anti-immigration crimes and social movements have increased in almost
all European countries. Thus a major question for researchers,
policymakers, and law enforcement personnel in Europe and North
America is whether extreme right-wing terrorism and violence display
unique tactical or strategic characteristics that make it harder to
detect and counter.
The
Nature of Right-Wing Violence and Terrorism
Defining
the Threat
One
problematic issue connected to identifying and adequately classifying
right-wing terrorism is the lack of clarity among the different
concepts used to describe this form of political violence. In fact,
many incidents of right-wing terrorism have been analyzed under the
concept of “hate crime,”25 which
does share a number of similar characteristics with terrorism.26 A
hate crime—defined as “a criminal act that is motivated by a bias
toward the victim or victims real or perceived identity group”27—can
include, for example, the desire to “terrorize a broader
group”28 or to create a specific
intimidation, including through hate speech, which has been described
as simply another manifestation of terrorism.29 The
similarities between hate crimes and terrorism have led some scholars
to call the former a “close cousin” of terrorism because “the
target of an offense is selected because of his or her group
identity, not because of his or her individual behaviour, and because
the effect of both is to wreak terror on a greater number of people
than those directly affected by violence.”30 Other
scholars have disagreed, however, and argued that the two are in fact
distinct forms of violence more akin to “distant relatives” than
close cousins based on key differences such as the lack of planning
and the spontaneous character of hate crimes, the downward nature of
hate crimes (minority group as target), and the lack of
publicity.31 Reviewing the
similarities and differences between hate crimes and terrorism, Mills
et al. maintain that “hate crimes attack society at large by
attacking its norms, targeting dearly held values of equality,
liberty, and basic human rights.”32 Such
a conception of hate crimes aligns them with the “upward” nature
of terrorism, refuting claims that hate crimes are only a “downward
crime.” Not attempting to solve this conceptual debate here, it is
still reasonable to assume that there is a relationship between “hate
crimes” and “terrorism,” both in their effects (that is,
creating fear) and in the way their perpetrators operate. It is also
reasonable to assume that the step from committing hate crimes to
committing terrorism is much smaller and easier to take than that
from “ordinary crime” (or no criminal activity) to terrorism.
Hate crimes seem to provide a bridge and an ideological testing phase
for catalyzing potential motivations for violent action (for example,
hate, fear, aggression, power) with the ideological call to act.
Case
Studies
In
order to assess the tactical and strategic dimensions of right-wing
political violence and terrorism, it is critical to find a suitable
empirical database. Those countries with the largest and most violent
right-wing movements, in addition to having adequate statistics and a
minimum of good quality research, are the United States, Germany, and
Russia. Without the need to recapitulate the history and structure of
the violent extreme right-wing movements in these countries, this
section focuses on some key strategic lessons learned for
policymakers and law enforcement personnel regarding the character of
right-wing terroristic violence.33
United States
Numerous
high-quality assessments have been possible in recent years as a
result of detailed databases on domestic extremism and terrorism
compiled from a variety of projects. These include the Terrorism and
Extremist Violence in the United States (TEVUS) database at the
National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and the Responses to
Terrorism (START); the Global Terrorism Database (GTD); the U.S.
Extremist Crime Database (ECDB); the American Terrorism Study (ATS);
and the Profiles of Perpetrators of Terrorism in the United States
(PPT-US) database.
One
of the core findings regarding the characteristics of right-wing
violence based on the U.S. sample is that the extreme right has not
just developed strategic concepts based on small-unit or lone-actor
tactics (for example, “leaderless resistance”), but has also
shown a strong use of these tactics in practice. Whether or not this
is due to a lack of organizational skills,34 many
studies have shown that lone-actor terrorism is the most prominent
tactic for the American extreme right. Perliger’s dataset, for
example, shows that 54 percent of 4,420 incidents between 1990 and
2012 were committed by single perpetrators and 20 percent by 2-person
groups.35 The Southern Poverty Law
Center, examining 63 incidents between April 2009 and February 2015,
found that 74 percent of the attacks were carried out by
loneactors.36 In analyzing 198
lone-actor attacks, sociologist Ramón Spaaij found that right-wing
actors constituted the second-largest category (17 percent),
following only attacks in which the perpetrator’s ideological
conviction remains unknown.37 A
similar study of 119 lone-actors found that 34 percent had an extreme
right-wing background; a subsequent, more detailed analysis of 111
European and American lone-actor terrorists showed that right-wing
attackers represented the largest group (39 percent), ahead of even
al Qaeda-inspired perpetrators (34 percent).38
It
thus appears that, although far from exclusively right-wing,
lone-actor terrorism is a highly preferred tactic of right-wing
violence. A number of studies have looked at the special
characteristics of far-right lone-actor attacks and homicides, both
in relation to non-right-wing homicides39 and
to organized right-wing extremist groups.40 In
the first case, the major findings reveal that far-right lone-actor
attacks have significantly decreased since the early 2000s (with a
total of 96 homicides between 1990 and 2008), have been perpetrated
by individuals much more likely to display mental health issues (40
percent), and targeted mostly strangers.41 Lone-actors
also seem to target government and military installations more
frequently and are older on average than other domestic extremists
who are part of an organized group.42 Compared
with other lone-actor terrorists (Islamist extremist or single
issue), right-wing terrorists are significantly more likely to have
previous military experience, work in construction, and interact face
to face with a wider network, and are less likely to receive help or
be part of any command and control structure.43
These
studies of lone-actors have revealed profiles of right-wing
extremists that are seemingly detached (but not uninfluenced) by
right-wing groups, perhaps because of mental health issues and a
tendency to focus on government-related targets, both of which would
increase the risks of detection and interference by government
authorities for organized right-wing groups.44 This
picture, however, does not fit into a conscious strategy of
“leaderless resistance” by the far-right; rather, it is more
likely a concept designed to fit a certain type of activist who would
act alone anyway and to label the occurring violence as part of a
“master plan.”
Russia
One
key lesson learned from the Russian case is how the government’s
weak response to the rise of more militant right-wing groups in the
early 2000s provided political opportunities for formal organizations
to interact and join forces with violent skinhead groups and local
community-based movements.45 As in
other countries, the Russian far-right is not homogenous, and
consists of many different groups and styles. According to Martin
Laryš and Mirslav Mareš, the most important of these are
unorganized individuals, short-term local mass movements evolving
around ethnic conflicts, violent youth gangs, and uniformed
paramilitary structures (including terrorist groups).46 These
groups appear to be united by their common use of Russian nationalism
and imperialism. One particularly worrying trend is the potential for
large numbers of Russian military veterans with combat experience in
Chechnya, Ukraine, or Georgia to be incorporated into highly militant
right-wing underground cells.
Research
on the Russian extreme right has provided valuable insights into
different types of right-wing crimes and group structures, such as ad
hoc hate crimes, large-scale mass pogroms organized by right-wing
organizations around individual conflicts, and organized violence
(including paramilitary branches of existing extremist organizations,
violent street gangs, terrorist groups).47 Terrorist
incidents—such as the bomb attack on the Cherkizovsky Market in
Moscow in 2006, the attempted bombing of a McDonald’s restaurant in
2005, attacks on police stations and railways, or the live broadcast
of executions—show the escalation of violence and the
radicalization process of the Russian far-right, which can be
compared with the situation in Germany since 2011.48 It
is worth noting that strategic concepts behind these acts of violence
have been framed as “counter-state terror” with the goal “to
destabilise the state system and to induce panic in society, which
according to theorists of counter-state terror, will lead to a
neo-Nazi revolution.”49 This
approach is similar to what has been called a “strategy of tension”
used by Italian, Belgian, and German right-wing terrorists.50
Germany
The
Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (Bundesamt für
Verfassungsschutz [BfV]), the German domestic intelligence service,
estimated that there were 21,000 far-right extremist activists in
2014, including approximately 7,200 from the subcultural milieu (for
example, “skinheads”), 5,600 neo-Nazis, and an estimated 6,850
members of far-right parties.51 Of
these 21,000 extremists, German authorities regard a full 50 percent
(10,500) as “violence oriented,” meaning they are prepared to use
violence to advance their political goals.52Although
the number of activists has decreased slightly over the last few
years—from an estimated 22,150 in 2012—the number of right
wing-motivated crimes certainly has not. In 2014, German authorities
counted 1,029 violent hate crimes (“right-wing politically
motivated”), including more than 900 cases of criminal assault, an
increase of 22.9 percent and 23.3 percent, respectively, from the
previous year.53 This surge occurred
even before 2015, when the largest numbers of refugees arrived in
Germany. In 2014, 26 violent attacks on mosques were perpetrated by
right-wing extremists—a number dwarfed by the explosive increase in
violent right-wing attacks against refugee homes in recent
years.54 While authorities counted
58 of these incidents in 201355,
right-wing extremists attacked refugee homes 175 times in 2014. In
2015, the Federal Criminal Police (Bundeskriminalamt [BKA]) counted
901 violent acts against refugee shelters by individuals with a
right-wing background, out of 1,005 total attacks.56Ninety-four
of these attacks were arson, compared with just six arson attacks in
2014. This increase reflects a strong radicalization within the
German far-right, especially in regard to the open use of violence,
resembling the wave of arson attacks against refugee homes in the
early 1990s following German reunification.
Although
the German far-right movement historically has been extremely
violent—officially, 69 right-wing attacks between 1990 and 2015
caused 75 casualties, though civil society watchdogs counted up to
184 deaths—this widespread use of non-clandestine political
violence can be seen as extraordinary.57 Currently,
there are no extensive and detailed statistics regarding the level of
right-wing extremist violence and terrorism directed against Muslim
persons or institutions, but the rise of the new European
“Counter-Jihad” Movement (ECJM) is indicative of the growing
importance of Islamophobic violence perpetrated by the extreme
right.58 Based on cultural
nationalism, ECJM has identified Islam and Muslim immigration as
major threats to Europe.59 In recent
years, a number of right-wing terrorist cells that had planned to
attack mosques, Salafist preachers, and refugee shelters have been
detected in Germany.
A
recent project to build a database on right-wing terrorism and
strategic political violence has produced a number of important
insights about the characteristics of German far-right terrorists
since 1963.60 Analysis of
qualitative and quantitative data reveals that, since 1971, 91
right-wing terrorist actors (groups and individuals that could be
identified) have carried out 123 attacks (including both successful
and unsuccessful attempts) using explosives; 2,173 arson attacks; 229
murders; 12 kidnappings; 56 cases of extortion; and 174 armed
robberies. This database allows for additional strategic analysis,
largely supporting the findings from other countries. Of the 91
identifiable German right-wing terrorist actors, approximately 70
percent are either small cells with 2-3 members, small groups of 4-9
members, or lone-actors.
These
actors utilize mainly small-unit tactics (for example, explosives,
targeted assassinations, arson, and, on occasion, hostage-taking and
kidnapping) against government representatives, Jews, leftists, and
“foreigners.” Throughout the last 50 years, bombings have been
the main tactic of choice, especially since 1990. In earlier decades,
assassinations were also used widely, but the last 20 years have seen
a significant decrease in the employment of this tactic. Prior to
2000, government representatives (for example, police officers,
politicians, and military personnel) made up approximately half of
the intended targets. Since then, however, the groups and individuals
targeted by right-wing extremists have varied more widely. The vast
majority of German right-wing terrorist actors (approximately 72
percent) are active for no longer than a year before they are either
killed, detected and arrested by the authorities, or disbanded. If an
actor survives for more than a year, however, the chances of
long-term activity rapidly increase, with approximately 14 percent
remaining active for between 1 and 5 years and 13 percent for more
than 5 years. These long-term clandestine cells are also much more
likely to conduct attacks without being detected and to develop
highly professional tactics to avoid arrest.
Another
common characteristic of right-wing terrorism in general, as well as
in Germany, is the lack of public communication regarding attacks
(for example, claiming responsibility through letters, statements,
and communiqués). In Germany, only about 24 percent of perpetrators
actually send out any form of claim or note. One possible reason for
this may be their desire to employ a “strategy of tension” in
connection with their attacks, that is, to produce chaos and
insecurity among the population in order to increase electoral
support for (right-wing) “law and order” parties.61 This
strategy could also be used to demonstrate the weakness and
powerlessness of the targeted government. Another theory brought
forward more recently argues that the use of terrorism by right-wing
extremists is a natural consequence of extreme-right ideologies and
therefore does not require any communicated explanation.62 Many
right-wing attacks might be self-explanatory (e.g., a bomb attack
against a synagogue or a mosque motivated by anti-Semitism or
Islamophobia) and can achieve the result of terrorizing the targeted
victim group even without any communication. A third approach to
explaining this lack of strategic communication draws on right-wing
extremist tactical concepts such as leaderless resistance, in which
public statements are seen as a risk factor for detection.63
Collective
Right-Wing Anti-Immigration Violence
In
addition to organized right-wing clandestine cells and groups,
another highly problematic development became evident in recent years
across Europe: anti-immigration mass movements and collective
radicalization towards violence.
Between
1991 and 1994, authorities counted 1,499 right wing-motivated arson
attacks against refugee shelters in Germany.64 Between
1990 and 1995, the 295 individuals convicted in these attacks, which
account for about 60 percent of the incidents, displayed a very
atypical perpetrator pattern at that time.65 Sixty-three
percent of the perpetrators had not been previously convicted of any
crime and only 21 percent were known to be active in a right-wing
party or skinhead group. Approximately 68 percent of the perpetrators
were intoxicated during the attack, and in 60 percent of the cases
documented by courts there was almost no time invested in planning or
preparing the attack.66 These
characteristics make it extremely challenging for intelligence and
law enforcement officials to detect and counter such attacks.
Further, while the organizational characteristics of these attacks
certainly did not fit the typical picture of “terrorism” in
Germany at that time, the perpetrators’ intent did. In the majority
of cases, the relationship between victim and perpetrator was
irrelevant; the main motive was to achieve a high media impact to
convey a message against the government and a large hated group of
immigrants.67
Although
the quality of the political message and signal was not sophisticated
or embedded in a long-term, group-based strategy, the combination of
violent protest against immigration and the attempt to force refugees
to leave the country through fear shows the terrorist quality of
large and spontaneously acting groups based in a joint understanding
and unity, guided by right-wing extremist ideology. The violent
potential of a large and infuriated crowd has become especially
visible in the second wave of right-wing violence against refugee
homes that started in 2013. Again, the upsurge in violence appears to
have been caused by a widespread negative public debate about
immigration, as was the case in the first wave of attacks in the
early 1990s.68 Since the outbreak of
conflicts in Syria, Iraq, North Africa, and the Middle East in the
aftermath of 2011’s “Arab Spring,” the number of refugees and
asylum seekers in Germany has steadily risen to an estimated 1.5
million in 2015. The number of violent attacks against housing
installations for refugees has mirrored this increase.69 This
time, however, right-wing extremists have diversified their violent
tactics to include arson attacks against designated (but uninhabited)
refugee homes, direct threats against politicians, violent clashes
with the police tasked to protect the refugees, and the use of car
bombs and explosives. Still, the twofold objective of the attacks was
to protest against the government’s immigration policies and to
either force refugees out of certain areas or threaten them not to
come in the first place.
Although
no statistical evaluations or scientific studies about this second
wave of large-scale violence against refugee homes exist thus far,
the initial data suggests that there are at least some similarities
to the first wave. For example, in one analysis, out of 148
perpetrators identified by the authorities, only 41 (27.7 percent)
had been convicted of previous crimes; the majority were not active
in any organized right-wing group.70 Different,
however, seems to be the role of alcohol. Only 32 perpetrators (21.6
percent) were intoxicated during the attacks, compared to a full 68
percent in the early 1990s. This picture was supported by a
subsequent police analysis of 228 perpetrators.71 Of
these, just 14 people had committed two or more of the attacks, and
alcohol was only rarely involved.72 Although
about 50 percent of the perpetrators were known to the police due to
previous crimes, only one-third had committed right-wing crimes of
any sort before attacking a refugee home.73
Focusing
exclusively on the arson attacks, another internal study conducted by
the BKA shows a clear radicalization and escalation of the violence
used, which shifted from targeting uninhabited to inhabited buildings
in 40 of the 61 cases. The majority of the perpetrators in these
attacks were not part of an organized right-wing group.74 An
additional study by the German newspaper Die
Zeit, which examined only attacks carried out against
refugee shelters between January and November 2015 (a total of 222
incidents) that seriously harmed or endangered refugees, found that
authorities were able to identify the perpetrators and gather enough
evidence to charge or convict them in only 5 percent of the
cases.75 The same study also reveals
that almost half of the 93 arson attacks against refugee shelters
within the same timeframe were directed at inhabited buildings,
signifying a continuing escalation of violent tactics.
Parties
such as the National Democratic Party of Germany and The Third Way
have been involved in organizing protest groups online (typically via
Facebook) and stirring up anti-refugee sentiments with falsified
statistics of immigrants’ crimes or claims of specific events
witnessed by friends and colleagues, such as incidents of rape or
child abduction by refugees.76 Parties
like The Third Way have also published guidebooks on how to organize
large-scale protests, and have officially registered demonstrations
that, in the majority of cases, devolved into violent action or took
place shortly before arson attacks.77 In
this way, right-wing parties, although not proven to be directly
involved in the attacks, have contributed to a rise in levels of
hostility throughout Germany and provided the opportunity for right
wing-motivated violence. In addition, right-wing political parties
have tried to gain support from the rather new phenomenon of
right-wing populist protest movements such as PEGIDA (Patriotic
Europeans against the Islamization of the Occident) and its
franchises across Germany.78 Though
some attacks have been carried out by organized neo-Nazis who took
part in anti-immigration rallies, most of these violent acts were
seemingly perpetrated by individuals with no ties to the formal
extreme right-wing movement, but whose motivations mirrored those
deeply embedded in right-wing anti-immigration protest movements. It
is known that in some instances militant right-wing extremists have
co-organized or participated in these demonstrations, thereby
creating a direct, but completely non-institutional, link between
organized, militant, and experienced neo-Nazis and otherwise “normal”
citizens (that is, citizens not previously known for right-wing
extremist involvement) protesting primarily against immigration and
refugee policies. The Bavarian franchise of PEGIDA, for example, was
organized by two neo-Nazis who were sentenced to prison on terrorism
charges in 2003.79 In addition, the
organizers and speakers at the PEGIDA franchises in Düsseldorf,
Duisburg, and Thuringia are mostly hard-core right-wing extremists.80
Although
the aspects of spontaneity, large crowds without hierarchy or
organization, and intoxication are atypical for the type of political
violence usually associated with terrorism, this right-wing
collective violence displays other essential characteristics that
place it into that very category. One of the first goals of
right-wing collective violence is to directly challenge the
government’s monopoly of force. Second, these collective attacks
create terror and fear in a wide target group beyond the victims of
the attack itself. Third, these acts of violence, especially arson,
are carried out with a strong motivation to send a signal or create a
public symbol of resistance for a wide audience. Fourth, this type of
tactic allows the perpetrator to strategically attack and hide
immediately afterward in the large crowd of bystanders or to escape
from the location altogether. In this way, collective right-wing
violence is akin to core terrorist tactics, although less coordinated
and strategic. Right-wing organizations, parties, and groups have
been careful not to directly coordinate or lead these attacks, but
rather to stir up the climate of panic, fear, hate, and urgency to
act among the local population.
Similar
waves of arson attacks against refugee shelters carried out by
members of large protest movements have also occurred in
Sweden,81 Finland,82 and
other European countries. The formation of violent vigilante groups
as part of anti-immigration movements across Europe, with the
proclaimed goal of “protecting” European citizens against
criminal immigrants is a very recent and completely new development,
and poses the risk of collaboration between highly organized and
experienced clandestine cells and individuals from mass movements who
have no previous criminal records but are ready to commit violence.
A
comparable movement in the United States, the sovereign citizen
movement, is composed of a highly diverse and loosely connected
network of individuals and groups who reject U.S. laws, taxation,
currency, and the government’s legitimacy, especially regarding the
control of firearms.83 Frequent
overlap in the membership of more militant and violent militias and
white supremacists has resulted in a number of violent attacks by
both individuals and groups, as well as clashes with law enforcement
agencies.84 For example, Timothy
McVeigh’s accomplice in the Oklahoma City bombing, Terry Nichols,
was a member of the sovereign citizen movement. There also have been
a number of violent standoffs between sovereign citizen members and
federal law enforcement agencies (for example, the “Bundy
standoffs” in 2014 and 2016), and the murders of a number of police
officers have been attributed members of the network.85 As
a result of increased lethal violence directed against the U.S.
government by sovereign citizen members, including the murders of six
police officers and at least three planned terrorist attacks since
2010, the FBI has labeled the network as a “domestic terrorist
movement.”86
Although
European anti-immigration mass movements like PEGIDA are still very
different from the highly armed and often extremely violent sovereign
citizens, they do share a number of important characteristics,
signaling a new strategic and tactical era in the militant extreme
right. By diversifying further and moving away from a reliance on
lone-actor attacks (although not returning to the large-scale,
paramilitary organizations of the 1980s and 1990s), this new type of
fluid network, centered around shared opposition to the democratic
government and immigration, can mobilize large numbers of activists
from mainstream society and create something I would call “hive”
terrorism: terrorist acts or violent hate crimes committed by a
spontaneously formed crowd that quickly disbands after the incident.
Western European law enforcement agencies are currently struggling to
understand this new threat and formulate adequate responses. It is
comparable to neither an Islamist extremist terror attack in regard
to detectable communication, structures, and preparation, nor to the
other end of the typology, the neo-Nazi lone-actor.
Conclusion
Right-wing
terrorism has operated both traditionally and tactically using very
small groups, cells, and lone-actors to target mainly government
representatives and minorities with explosives and targeted
assassinations. These attacks, which usually do not attempt to
inflict indiscriminate mass casualties (a tactic which nevertheless
seems to be gaining increased prominence), have only very rarely been
accompanied by some form of public communication (that is, the public
claiming of the attack). This indicates that right-wing terrorists do
not need or want to communicate their course of action to a potential
audience. One reason for this is that right-wing attacks are often
self-explanatory (for example, bombing a mosque can successfully
generate fear and terror within the target group even without someone
claiming the attack). As Professor Mark Hamm points out, right-wing
political violence can, in fact, be both hate crime and
terrorism.87 This also implies that
terrorist violence is inherently part of the right-wing extremist
ideology and is not perceived by the perpetrators as something in
need of explanation. In addition, this raises the danger that the
intent and nature of an attack will be misjudged as unplanned,
erratic, spontaneous, or as an isolated incident. The findings above,
however, suggest otherwise. Right-wing terrorism is a highly
dangerous form of political violence and a significant threat because
it tactically and strategically aims to blend in with the surrounding
societies in order to minimize repression and countermeasures and to
maximize the effects regarding the main goal: winning a long-term war
against their enemies (that is, democratic governments and
foreigners).
Another
development caused by the massive influx of refugees that poses
potential risks to Western societies is the spread of
anti-immigration, right-wing, populist mass movements across Europe,
which have displayed a steady process of radicalization toward the
use of violence. In addition, the boundaries between large-scale
anti-immigration protest movements and organized militant groups have
been increasingly blurred. As the characteristics of the perpetrators
of xenophobic arson attacks show, security agencies will be facing a
different type of threat: spontaneous and rarely planned, violent and
often lethal attacks against refugee homes, mosques, police, or
left-wing activists, carried out by individuals or small groups
without previous criminal records or even history of involvement in
organized far-right groups.
In
sum, the key lessons for law enforcement personnel and policymakers
are:
1.
Right-wing terrorism is a unique form of political violence with
fluid boundaries between hate crime and organized terrorism. In
general, right-wing terrorism does not aim for individual and
concentrated high-effect results, but rather for long-term,
low-intensity “warfare” against their enemies. The effects of
creating horror and fear in their target group, however, are similar
to other forms of terrorism.
-
Lone-actor
tactics have declined in recent years, although they still dominate
the militant right-wing movement. A distinct type of collective
“hive” terrorism has developed in Europe, embedded in and
carried out by large-scale, right-wing, anti-immigration and
anti-government movements, with the peripheral involvement of
organized and more militant right-wing organizations. Having created
manuals and guidebooks on how to organize these protest movements
and use online social media platforms to stir up hatred, this
structure could become a blueprint for the United States as well.
The high number of attacks currently being committed in the wake of
these movements in Western Europe could potentially become more
dangerous if transferred to the better-armed sovereign citizen
movement or other networks in the United States.
-
3.
Law enforcement personnel cannot hope that focusing on the detection
of communication and group structures before an event will bring
adequate results. Biographical backgrounds may increasingly involve
individuals without previous connection to an extremist movement, and
small groups could form spontaneously during or shortly after
protests and rallies in order to carry out arson attacks, shootings,
or other terrorist attacks.
-
While
it is not to be expected that the refugee situation will escalate to
the level of significance in the United States that it has in
Europe, the situation in countries like Germany, France, Sweden, and
Denmark have taught neo-Nazis and other organized right-wing
extremists how to evade government crackdown and detection before
attacks. Even small numbers of refugees could potentially be used to
catalyze similar protest movements on platforms already established
in the United States.
-
-
A
last potential threat from organized clandestine or open violence
can be reciprocal violence between right-wing extremist groups and
those opposed to them. Violent clashes between right-wing populists
and Salafists in Germany, for example, have led to further
radicalization on both sides. Recent clashes in Anaheim, California
between Ku Klux Klan members and opponents are another example of
this mechanism.88
-
In
sum, right-wing terrorism or racist political violence remains one of
the most dangerous threats to Western democracies, especially because
these extremist groups have developed and used violent tactics
designed to be overlooked and misinterpreted by security agencies.
White supremacists, sovereign citizen members, neo-Nazis, and other
right-wing extremist groups widely deploy a very dynamic and flexible
form of collective or “hive” terrorism that does not provide
traditional angles for security agencies to identify hierarchies,
long-term plots, or group structures. The lethal and terrorizing
effect remains intact, however. In addition, the corroding effect
against democratic societies and community resilience can be much
higher in cases of right-wing terrorism than compared with other
forms because the underestimation by the authorities essentially
proves right the suspicion of minorities and other at-risk groups
that they are without equal protection.
Notes
1 Charles
Kurzman and David Schanzer, “The Growing Right-Wing Terror
Threat,” The New York Times,
June 16, 2015,
<http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/16/opinion/the-other-terror-threat.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&_r=1>.
2 Arie
Perliger, “Challengers from the Sidelines. Understanding America’s
Violent Far-Right,” West Point: Combating Terrorism Center (2012):
86.
<https://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/challengers-from-the-sidelines-understanding-americas-violent-far-right>.
3 Ibid,
87.
4 Christopher
Hewitt, Understanding terrorism in
America: from the Klan to al Qaeda (New York:
Routledge, 2003): 15.
5 Steven
Chermak, Joshua Freilich, and Joseph Simone, “Surveying American
State Police Agencies About Lone Wolves, Far-Right Criminality, and
Far-Right and Islamic Jihadist Criminal Collaboration,” Studies
in Conflict & Terrorism 33, no. 11 (2010);
Barbara Perry and Ryan Scrivens, “Uneasy Alliances: A Look at the
Right-Wing Extremist Movement in Canada,” Studies
in Conflict & Terrorism (Feb 5, 2016).
6 New
America Foundation, “Deadly Attacks Since 9/11,”
<http://securitydata.newamerica.net/extremists/deadly-attacks.html>.
7 The
TWEED dataset is available at <http://folk.uib.no/sspje/tweed.htm>.
TE-SAT is available at
<https://www.europol.europa.eu/latest_publications/37>.
8 See:
Jacob Ravndal, “A Thugs or Terrorists? A Typology of Right-Wing
Terrorism and Violence in Western Europe,” Journal
for Deradicalization, Summer 3 (2015).
<http://journals.sfu.ca/jd/index.php/jd/article/view/16>.
9 E.G.
Tore Bjørgo, Terror from the extreme
right, (London: Frank Cass, 1995); Kathleen Blee, “Women
and Organized Racial Terrorism in the United States,” Studies
in Conflict & Terrorism 28, no. 5 (2005),<
http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10576100500180303>;
Mark Hamm, American skinheads: the
criminology and control of hate crime (Westport,
Conn.: Praege, 1993); Bruce Hoffman, Right
Wing Terrorism in Europe (Santa Monica: RAND, 1982),
<http://www.rand.org/pubs/notes/N1856.html>; Bruce
Hoffman, Right-Wing Terrorism in Europe
since 1980. (Santa Monica: RAND, 1984),
<http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/papers/2005/P7029.pdf>;
Daniel Koehler, “German Right-Wing Terrorism in Historical
Perspective. A First Quantitative Overview of the ‘Database on
Terrorism in Germany (Right-Wing Extremism)’ – DTG rwx ’
Project,” Perspectives on Terrorism 8,
no. 5 (2014).
<http://www.terrorismanalysts.com/pt/index.php/pot/article/view/377/html>;
Daniel Levitas, The Terrorist Next Door:
The Militia Movement and the Radical Right (1st ed.)
(New York: Thomas Dunne Books/St. Martin’s Press, 2002); JJ
MacNab, The Seditionists: Inside the
Explosive World of Anti-Government Extremism in America (New
York: St. Martin’s Press, 2016); George Michael, Confronting
Right Wing Extremism and Terrorism in the USA (New
York: Routledge, 2003); Arie Perliger, “Challengers from the
Sidelines. Understanding America’s Violent Far-Right,” West
Point: Combating Terrorism Center (2012).
<https://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/challengers-from-the-sidelines-understanding-americas-violent-far-right>;
James Piazza, “The Determinants of Domestic Right-Wing Terrorism in
the USA: Economic Grievance, Societal Change and Political
Resentment,” Conflict Management and
Peace Science, (2015).
<http://cmp.sagepub.com/content/early/2015/03/06/0738894215570429.abstract>;
Brent Smith, Terrorism in America : Pipe
Bombs and Pipe Dreams (Albany: State University of
New York Press, 1994); Ehud Sprinzak, “Right-Wing Terrorism in a
Comparative Perspective: the Case of Split Deligitimization,” in
Tore Bjørgo (ed.), Terror from the
Extreme Right (London: Frank Cass, 1995): 17-43; Max
Taylor, Donald Holbrook, and PM Currie, Extreme
right wing political violence and terrorism (New
York: Continuum International Pub. Group, 2013); Leonard Weinberg,
“On Responding to Right-Wing Terrorism,” Terrorism
and Political Violence 8, no. 1 (1996).
<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09546559608427334?journalCode=ftpv20>.
10 Pete
Simi, “Why Study White Supremacist Terror? A Research
Note,” Deviant Behavior 31,
no. 3 (2010).
<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01639620903004572>.
11 For
example, see: Daniel Koehler, “The German ‘National Socialist
Underground (NSU)’ and Anglo-American Networks. The
Internationalization of Far-Right Terror,” in Paul Jackson &
Anton Shekhovtsov (eds.), The Post-War
Anglo-American Far Right: A Special Relationship of
Hate (Basingstoke: Palgrave, 2014): 122-141.
12 The
terms “Far-Right” and “Extreme Right” are used similarly in
this article and describe a family of parties, political movements
and subcultural milieus based on racism, white supremacism, militant
nationalism, anti-government activism and/or collective degradation
of ethnic groups or minorities.
13 Kathleen
Deloughery, Ryan King, and Victor Asal, “Close Cousins or Distant
Relatives? The Relationship Between Terrorism and Hate Crime,” Crime
& Delinquency 58, no. 5 (2012).
<http://cad.sagepub.com/content/58/5/663.abstract>; Colleen
Mills, Joshua Freilich, and Steven Chermak, “Extreme Hatred:
Revisiting the Hate Crime and Terrorism Relationship to Determine
Whether They Are ‘Close Cousins’ or ‘Distant Relatives,’” Crime
& Delinquency (2015).
<http://cad.sagepub.com/content/early/2015/12/18/0011128715620626.abstract>.
14 Angelique
Chrisafis, “Front National Wins Opening Round in France’s
Regional Elections,” The Guardian,
December 7, 2015.
<http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/06/front-national-wins-opening-round-in-frances-regional-elections>.
15 Oliver
Laughland and Spencer Ackerman, “For a teen aspiring to be
president, being Muslim is a hurdle in post-9/11 America,” The
Guardian, September 26, 2015,
<http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/sep/26/muslim-teen-president-america-islamophobia-911>;
and Federal Bureau of Investigation, “Uniform Crime Reports: Hate
Crime,” (2001),
<https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/hate-crime/2001>.
16 Michelle
Mark, “Anti-Muslim Hate Crimes Have Spiked After Every Major
Terrorist Attack: After Paris, Muslims Speak Out Against
Islamophobia,” International Business
Times, November 18, 2015,
<http://www.ibtimes.com/anti-muslim-hate-crimes-have-spiked-after-every-major-terrorist-attack-after-paris-2190150>.
17 Paul
Wilkinson, “Violence and terror and the extreme right,” Terrorism
and Political Violence 7, no. 4 (1995).
<http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09546559508427319?journalCode=ftpv20>.
18 Philomena
Essed, Understanding everyday racism: An
interdisciplinary theory (Newbury Park: Sage
Publications, 1991).
19 Frank
Neubacher, Fremdenfeindliche
Brandanschläge. Eine kriminologisch-empirische Untersuchuchng von
Tätern, Tathintergründen und gerichtlicher Verarbeitung in
Jugendstrafverfahren, (Godesberg: Forum, 1998): 48-49.
20 “Bologna
blast leaves dozens dead,” BBC News,
<http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/august/2/newsid_4532000/4532091.stm>.
21 Jan
Friedmann, Conny Neumann, Sven Röbel, and Steffen Winter, “1980
Oktoberfest Bombing: Did Neo-Nazi Murderer Really Act
Alone?,” Spiegel, September
14, 2010,
<http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/1980-oktoberfest-bombing-did-neo-nazi-murderer-really-act-alone-a-717229.html>.
22 Sheryll
Shariat, Sue Mallonee, and Shelli Stidham Stephens, “Oklahoma City
Bombing Injuries,” Oklahoma State Department of Health (December
1998), <http://www.ok.gov/health2/documents/OKC_Bombing.pdf.>
23 Jeremy
Armstrong, “Nicky Davison, Son of a Right Wing Extremist, Found
Guilty of Part in Plot to Kill Muslims, Blacks and Jews,” Mirror,
May 1, 2010,
<http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/nicky-davison-son-of-a-right-wing-218203>.
24 Mark
Lewis and Sarah Lyall, “Norway Mass Killer Gets the Maximum: 21
Years,” The New York Times,
August 24, 2012,
<http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/world/europe/anders-behring-breivik-murder-trial.html?_r=2>.
25 James
Jacobs and Kimberly Potter, Hate crimes:
criminal law & identity politics (New York:
Oxford University Press, 1998).
26 Deloughery,
King, and Asal (2012); Donald Green, Laurence McFalls, & Jennifer
Smith, “Hate Crime: An Emergent Research Agenda,” Annual
Review of Sociology 27 (2001),
<http://www.jstor.org/stable/2678630>; Mark Hamm, American
Skinheads : The Criminology and Control of Hate Crime (Westport,
Conn.: Praege, 1993); Gregory Herek, Jeanine Cogan, & J. Roy
Gillis, “Victim Experiences in Hate Crimes Based on Sexual
Orientation,”Journal of Social Issues 58,
no. 2 (2002),
<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1540-4560.00263/abstract>;
Alan Krueger, & Jitka Malecková, “Does Poverty Cause
Terrorism?” The New Republic,
June, 24 2002,
<https://newrepublic.com/article/91841/does-poverty-cause-terrorism>.
27 Randy
Blazak, “Isn’t Every Crime a Hate Crime? The Case for Hate Crime
Laws,” Sociology Compass 5,
no. 4 (2011): 245.
28 Donald
Green, Laurence McFalls, and Jennifer Smith, “Hate Crime: An
Emergent Research Agenda,” Annual
Review of Sociology 27, (2001): 435.
29 Gregory
Herek, Jeanine Cogan, and J. Roy Gillis, “Victim experiences in
hate crimes based on sexual orientation,” Journal
of Social Issues 58, no. 2 (2002).
30 Alan
Krueger and Jitka Maleckova, “Does poverty cause terrorism?” The
New Republic, June, 24 2002,
<https://newrepublic.com/article/91841/does-poverty-cause-terrorism>.
31 Deloughery,
King, and Asal (2012).
32 Colleen
Mills, Joshua Freilich, and Steven Chermak, “Extreme Hatred:
Revisiting the Hate Crime and Terrorism Relationship to Determine
Whether They Are ‘Close Cousins’ or ‘Distant Relatives,’ Crime
& Delinquency (2015),
<http://cad.sagepub.com/content/early/2015/12/18/0011128715620626.abstract>.
33 Daniel
Koehler, “Rechtsterrorismus in der Bundesrepublik Deutschlan. Ein
Profil,” Kriminalistik, no.
3, (2015); Martin Laryš and Miroslav Mareš, “Right-Wing Extremist
Violence in the Russian Federation,” Europe-Asia
Studies63, no. 1 (2011); JJ Macnab, The
Seditionists: Inside the Explosive World of Anti-Government Extremism
in America (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2016);
George Michael, Confronting Right Wing
Extremism and Terrorism in the USA (New York:
Routledge, 2003); Thomas Parland, The
extreme nationalist threat in Russia: the growing influence of
Western rightist ideas (New York: Routledge, 2004);
Stephen Shenfield, Russian Fascism:
Traditions, Tendencies, Movements (New York: M.E.
Sharpe, 2001).
34 George
Michael, Confronting Right Wing
Extremism and Terrorism in the USA (New York:
Routledge, 2003): 125.
35 Arie
Perliger (2012), 86.
36 Southern
Poverty Law Center, “Age of the Wolf: A Study of the Rise of Lone
Wolf and Leaderless Resistance Terrorism,” (2015),
<http://www.splcenter.org/sites/default/files/downloads/publication/lone_wolf_special_report_0.pdf>.
37 Ramon
Spaaij, Understanding lone wolf
terrorism: Global patterns, motivations and prevention (London:
Springer, 2011).
38 Paul
Gill, John Horgan, & Paige Deckert, “Bombing Alone: Tracing the
Motivations and Antecedent Behaviors of Lone-Actor
Terrorists,” Journal of Forensic
Sciences 59, no. 2, (2014); Paul Gill, Lone-actor
terrorists: a behavioural analysis. (New York, NY:
Routledge, 2015).
39 Jeff
Gruenewald, “A Comparative Examination of Homicides Perpetrated by
Far-Right Extremists,” Homicide
Studies 15, no. 2, (2011); Jeff Gruenewald, Steven
Chermak, and Joshua Freilich, “Distinguishing “Loner” Attacks
from Other Domestic Extremist Violence,” Criminology
& Public Policy 12, no. 1, (2013).
40 Kathleen
Deloughery, Ryan King, & Victor Asal, “Understanding Lone-actor
Terrorism: A Comparative Analysis with Violent Hate Crimes and
Group-based Terrorism,” National Consortium for the Study of
Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (September 2013),
<https://www.start.umd.edu/pubs/START_IUSSD_UnderstandingLoneactorTerrorism_Sept2013.pdf>;
Jeff Gruenewald, Steven Chermak, and Joshua Freilich, “Distinguishing
“Loner” Attacks from Other Domestic Extremist
Violence,” Criminology & Public
Policy 12, no. 1, (2013).
41 Jeff
Gruenewald, Steven Chermak, and Joshua Freilich, “Far-Right Lone
Wolf Homicides in the United States”,Studies
in Conflict & Terrorism 36, no. 12 (2013).
42 Ibid,
80.
43 Paul
Gill, Lone-actor terrorists: a
behavioural analysis (New York, NY: Routledge, 2015):
124; Daryl Johnson,Right Wing Resurgence: How
a Domestic Terrorist Threat is Being Ignored (Lanham,
MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2012).
44 Paul
Gill, 107.
45 Mihai
Varga, “How political opportunities strengthen the far right:
understanding the rise in far-right militancy in Russia,” Europe-Asia
Studies 60, no. 4, (2008).
46 Martin
Laryš and Miroslav Mareš, “Right-Wing Extremist Violence in the
Russian Federation,” Europe-Asia
Studies 63, no. 1 (2011).
47 For
example, approximately 450 right-wing motivated killings between 2004
and 2010; See: Martin Laryš and Miroslav Mareš (2011).
48 Martin
Laryš and Miroslav Mareš (2011), 146-150.
49 Ibid.
50 Franco
Ferraresi, Threats to Democracy: The
Radical Right in Italy after the War (Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 2012).
51 BMI, Verfassungsschutzbericht (Berlin:
Spangenberg, 2015),
<http://www.verfassungsschutz.de/de/download-manager/_vsbericht-2014.pdf.>.
52 Ibid.
53 BMI, Politisch
Motivierte Kriminalität im Jahr 2014 (Berlin:
Spangenberg, 2015),
<https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/Downloads/DE/Nachrichten/Pressemitteilungen/2015/05/pmk-2014.pdf?__blob=publicationFile>.
54 German
Parliament’s Answer to an Information Request by the Die Linke
Party: Federal Government, Islamophobia, and anti-Muslim crimes in
2014. Federal Government’s answer to the information request by
delegates Ulla Jelpke, Jan Korte, Sevim Dağdelen,
one additional delegate [presumably anonymous?], and the Die Linke
parliamentary party. Printed document 18/4067–18/4269. Berlin:
German Parliament.
55 ZeitOnline,
“Zunehmend Angriffe auf Flüchtlingsheime,” Zeit,
2015,
<http://www.zeit.de/gesellschaft/zeitgeschehen/2015-02/asyl-fluechtlingsheime-uebergriffe-zahl-steigend>.
56 Von
Jorg Diehl, “Gewaltwelle: BKA zählt mehr als tausend Attacken auf
Flüchtlingsheime,” Spiegel,
January 28, 2016,
<http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/fluechtlingsheime-bundeskriminalamt-zaehlt-mehr-als-1000-attacken-a-1074448.html>.
57 Anna
Brausam, “Todesopfer rechtsextremer und rassistischer Gewalt seit
1990,” MUT, July 30, 2015,
<http://www.mut-gegen-rechte-gewalt.de/news/chronik-der-gewalt/todesopfer-rechtsextremer-und-rassistischer-gewalt-seit-1990/>;
DPA, “Seit 1990 fast 70 Mordanschläge mit rechtsextremem
Hintergrund,” Sueddeutsche,
July 27, 2015,
<http://www.sueddeutsche.de/news/service/extremismus-seit-1990-fast-70-mordanschlaege-mit-rechtsextremem-hintergrund-dpa.urn-newsml-dpa-com-20090101-150727-99-00045>.
58 Alexander
Meleagrou-Hitchens and Hans Brun, A
Neo-Nationalist Network: The English Defence League and Europe’s
Counter-Jihad Movement (London: Kings College Press,
2013),
<http://icsr.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/ICSR-ECJM-Report_Online.pdf>.
59 Ibid.
60 For
example: Daniel Koehler, “Rechtsterrorismus in der Bundesrepublik
Deutschland. Ein Profil.” Kriminalistik3
(2015).
61 Franco
Ferraresi, Threats to democracy: the
radical right in Italy after the war (Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 2012).
62 Koehler,
“Right-Wing Terrorism in the 21st Century.”
Routledge, Series on Fascism and the Far-Right, in print (2016).
63 Jeffrey
Kaplan, “Leaderless resistance,” Terrorism
and Political Violence 9, no.3 (1997).
64 BMI, Verfassungsschutzbericht 1991
(Bonn: Bundesministerium des Innern, 1992).
65 Frank
Neubacher, Fremdenfeindliche
Brandanschläge. Eine kriminologisch-empirische Untersuchuchng von
Tätern, Tathintergründen und gerichtlicher Verarbeitung in
Jugendstrafverfahre (Godesberg: Forum, 1998): 104.
66 Ibid,
177-207.
67 Ibid,
211.
68 Ibid,
48-49.
69 Caroline
Copley, Thorsten Severin, “Merkel’s deputy expects Germany to get
over a million refugees in 2015,”Reuters,
October 11, 2015,
<http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-germany-poll-idUSKCN0S50GA20151011>.
70 Spiegel,
“Attacken auf Asylunterkünfte: BKA fürchtet Ausbreitung
‘völkischer Ideologie,’”Spiegel,
July 31, 2015,
<http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/bka-uebergriffe-auf-fluechtlingsheime-haben-dramatisches-ausmass-erreicht-a-1046173.html>.
71 Von
Lena Kampf and Georg Mascolo, “Gewalt gegen Flüchtlinge alarmiert
BKA,” Sueddeutsche, October
21, 2015,
<http://www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/fremdenfeindlichkeit-gewalt-gegen-fluechtlinge-alarmiert-bka-1.2701864>.
72 Ibid.
73 Ibid.
74 Christian
Baars, “Mehr Anschläge, wenig Aufklärung,” Tagesschau,
September 19, 2015,
<https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/fluechtlingsunterkuenfte-anschlaege-101.html>.
75 Paul
Blickle, Kai Biermann, Philip Faigle, Astrid Geisler, Gotz Hamann,
Lenz Jacobsen, and Sascha Venohr, “Es brennt in Deutschland,” Zeit,
December 3, 2015,
<http://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2015-11/rechtsextremismus-fluechtlingsunterkuenfte-gewalt-gegen-fluechtlinge-justiz-taeter-urteile>.
76 See:
“13-jährige Schülerin aus Berlin: Angeblich entführtes Mädchen
war bei einem Bekannten” [Translation: “13-year-old student from
Berlin: Allegedly kidnapped girl was with a friend”], Spiegel,
January 29, 2016,
<http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/berlin-angeblich-vergewaltigte-13-jaehrige-war-bei-bekanntem-a-1074642.html>;
Von Patrick Gensing, “Proteste gegen Flüchtlinge:
‘Anti-Asyl-Initiativen’ - vom Netz auf die Straße”
[Translation: “Protests against refugees: ‘anti-asylum
initiatives’ - from the network to the road”], tagesschau.de,
August 10, 2015,
<http://www.tagesschau.de/inland/hetze-fluechtlinge-neonazis-101.html>;
and HOAXmap, <http://hoaxmap.org/>, which documents claims,
posted online by far-right groups, that asylum seekers perpetrated
incidents of rape, theft, assault, and so on, and which have been
definitively disproven, either by the police or press.
77 Von
Patrick Gensing, “Anti-Asyl-Initiativen, ” tagesschau.de,
August 10, 2015,
<http://www.tagesschau.de/inland/hetze-fluechtlinge-neonazis-101.html>.
78 Lukas
Boehnke, Malte Thran, “The Value-Based Nationalism of
PEGIDA” Journal for
Deradicalization 3, (2015) <
http://journals.sfu.ca/jd/index.php/jd/article/view/21>.
79 John
Welte, “Wo Bagida draufsteht, stecken Neonazis drin,” TZ,
January 14, 2015,
<http://www.tz.de/muenchen/stadt/wo-bagida-draufsteht-stecken-neonazis-drin-4635998.html>.
80 Spiegel,
“Rechtspopulismus: Verfassungsschutz nimmt Pegida-Ableger ins
Visier,” Spiegel, August
23, 2015,
<http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/pegida-verfassungsschutz-nimmt-ableger-ins-visier-a-1059327.html>.
81 “This
is not the Sweden we want to see,” The
Local, October 20 2015,
<http://www.thelocal.se/20151020/fourth-asylum-home-set-on-fire-in-west-sweden>.
82 “Arson
attack attempted on planned refugee centre in Turku,” Finland
Times, December 26 2015,
<http://www.finlandtimes.fi/national/2015/12/26/23624/Arson-attack-attempted-on-planned-refugee-centre-in-Turku>.
83 ADL, The
Lawless Ones: The Resurgence of the sovereign Citizen Movement (New
York City: ADL press, 2010),
<http://www.adl.org/assets/pdf/combating-hate/Lawless-Ones-2012-Edition-WEB-final.pdf>;
FBI, “Sovereign Citizens. A Growing Domestic Threat to Law
Enforcement,” Law Enforcement
Bulletin 80, no. 9, (2011); David Fleishman, “Paper
Terrorism: The Impact of the ‘Sovereign Citizen’on Local
Government,” The Public Law Journal,
(2004), <http://hflegal.net/files/paper_terrorism.pdf>; JJ
MacNab, The Seditionists: Inside the
Explosive World of Anti-Government Extremism in America,
(New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2016).
84 Richard
Abanes, American Militias: Rebellion
Racism and Religion (Downers Grove, IL: Intervarsity
Press, 1996); Lane Crothers, Rage on the
right: the American militia movement from Ruby Ridge to homeland
security, (Lanham, Md.: Rowman & Littlefield, 2003);
Joshua Freilich, American militias:
State-level variations in militia activities (El Paso
Texas: LFB Scholarly Publishing, 2003); Daniel Levitas, The
terrorist next door: the militia movement and the radical right (1st
ed.), (New York: Thomas Dunne Books/St. Martin’s Press, 2002).
85 For
a list of incidents see: <http://www.deathandtaxes.com/>.
86 Counterterrorism
Analysis Section, “Sovereign Citizens: A Growing Domestic Threat to
Law Enforcement,” Federal Bureau of Investigation (Sept 2011),
<https://leb.fbi.gov/2011/september/sovereign-citizens-a-growing-domestic-threat-to-law-enforcement>.
87 Mark
Hamm (1993): 197.
88 James
Queally, Richard Winton, “Violence at Ku Klux Klan rally in
Anaheim: Police defend their actions,” Los
Angeles Times, February 28, 2016,
<http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-ku-klux-klan-violence-in-anaheim-police-defend-handling-of-rally-20160228-story.html>.
Daniel Koehler is the Director of the German Institute on Radicalization and De-radicalization Studies (GIRDS) and a Fellow at George Washington University’s Program on Extremism at the Center for Cyber and Homeland Security.
Lone-actor
tactics have declined in recent years, although they still dominate
the militant right-wing movement. A distinct type of collective
“hive” terrorism has developed in Europe, embedded in and
carried out by large-scale, right-wing, anti-immigration and
anti-government movements, with the peripheral involvement of
organized and more militant right-wing organizations. Having created
manuals and guidebooks on how to organize these protest movements
and use online social media platforms to stir up hatred, this
structure could become a blueprint for the United States as well.
The high number of attacks currently being committed in the wake of
these movements in Western Europe could potentially become more
dangerous if transferred to the better-armed sovereign citizen
movement or other networks in the United States.
While
it is not to be expected that the refugee situation will escalate to
the level of significance in the United States that it has in
Europe, the situation in countries like Germany, France, Sweden, and
Denmark have taught neo-Nazis and other organized right-wing
extremists how to evade government crackdown and detection before
attacks. Even small numbers of refugees could potentially be used to
catalyze similar protest movements on platforms already established
in the United States.
A
last potential threat from organized clandestine or open violence
can be reciprocal violence between right-wing extremist groups and
those opposed to them. Violent clashes between right-wing populists
and Salafists in Germany, for example, have led to further
radicalization on both sides. Recent clashes in Anaheim, California
between Ku Klux Klan members and opponents are another example of
this mechanism.88
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